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NBA DFS Cheat Sheet Today: Picks, Predictions for NBA Friday 3/4

March 7, 2025

March 7, 2025

Clippers SG James Harden is coming off a 50 point performance. Harden is a top NBA DFS pick for PrizePicks today on Friday, March 4.

AP Photo/Ryan Sun

We have an eight-game NBA slate on Friday that brings us plenty of options for NBA DFS. The highlight of the night is Denver hosting Phoenix at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN, and Portland taking on Oklahoma City. at 8 p.m. ET.

We give you all of the information you need in the NBA DFS Cheat Sheet for PrizePicks below, including the top offense vs. defense mismatches, pace up spots, PrizePicks NBA picks, and today’s injury report.

PrizePicks is the easiest way to get genuine money action on tonight’s NBA games. Pick more or less on player stat projections — from points to assists to combos — and get paid if your picks are correct.

Let’s dig into the NBA Friday slate below for NBA DFS on PrizePicks.

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NBA DFS Cheat Sheet Today for PrizePicks: March 7

Below, find everything you need for the Friday NBA DFS slate on PrizePicks, including the top NBA PrizePicks Picks and today’s NBA injury report. Click the section to read more. 

NBA PrizePicks Picks Today for NBA DFS

Here are three of the top NBA DFS picks for today for your NBA PrizePicks Lineups, March 7.

Clipper G James Harden — 24.5 Points

NBA DFS Picks Today - James Harden
  • Harden is coming off a 50-point performance against the Pistons in game where Kawhi Leonard sat out.
  • Knicks will likely not have PG Jalen Brunson, who injured his ankle last night, who would have primarily guarded Harden.
  • Knicks have allowed opposing starting guards to go over their points projection in eight of their last ten games.
  • Harden is averaging 25.5 points over his last 10 games, buoyed by his 50-point performance.
  • The Clippers will be without G Norman Powell (hamstring). Harden’s usage jumps from 29.9% with Powell on the floor to 35.9% without him. 

Knicks C Karl-Anthony Towns — 3.5 Assists (Demon)

NBA DFS Picks Today - Karl-Anthony Towns
  • With no Jalen Brunson, the offense is likely to run through Towns.
  • In the last game Brunson missed and Towns played, Towns had four assists vs. Utah.
  • Has five or more assists in two of his last three games against the Clippers.
  • Clippers are allowing 26.3 assists per game (13th) in their last 15 games.

Heat C Bam Adebayo — 30.5 Pts+Rebs

NBA DFS Picks Today - Bam Adebayo
  • Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert is expected to be back in the lineup after missing the last game.
  • Adebayo has gone less than his points + rebounds projection in three straight games against the Timberwolves in matchups against Gobert.
  • In his first game against the Timberwolves this year, Adebayo had nine points and seven rebounds in 39 minutes on 3-of-11 shooting. 
  • Starting centers have gone under their points + rebounds projections in three of their last four games in this matchup.
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NBA Offense vs. Defense Mismatches

Here are the top offense vs. defense mismatches across the NBA Friday games tonight.

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

  • The Cavaliers rank second in points scored per game (127.1) in their last ten games, and first (123.1) for the season.
  • The Hornets rank 29th in points allowed per game (116.5) over their last 10 games, and 14th (113.1) for the season.
  • The Hornets have allowed the seven-most rebounds per game (45.3) in the league.
  • Cavaliers C Jarett Allen ranks tenth in the NBA with 10.3 rebounds per game. 
  • Hornets G LaMelo Ball has scored 20+ points in three straight games and is averaging 24.3 points in that span.

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

  • The Grizzlies rank ninth in points scored per game (119.9) over their last 10 games, and second (123.0) for the season.
  • The Mavericks rank 18th in points allowed per game (117.2) over their last 10 games, and 17th (114.0) for the season.
  • The Grizzlies have recorded the sixth-most assists per game (29.0) in the league.
  • The Mavericks have allowed the 18th-most assists per game (26.9).
  • Grizzlies G Ja Morant has averaged 6.9 assists over the last ten games, which is the tenth-most in that span.

NBA Pace Report for NBA Friday Games

Here are the NBA games to target for quick-paced play with additional possessions on Friday for NBA DFS on PrizePicks.

Grizzlies vs. Mavericks – 7:30 p.m. ET

The Mavericks rank 18th (100.11) in pace of play over their last 10 games, and 14th (99.89) for the season. They will get a pace-up spot against the Grizzlies who have played at the third-fastest pace (103.18) over their last 10 games, and rank first (104.28) for the season.

Timberwolves vs. Heat – 8 p.m. ET

The Heat rank 30th (95.36) in pace of play over their last 10 games, and 28th (97.07) for the season. They will get a slight pace-up spot against the Timberwolves, who have played at the 13th-fastest pace (100.50) over their last 10 games, and rank 25th (98.11) for the season.

Spurs vs. Kings – 10 p.m. ET

The Spurs rank ninth (101.60) in pace of play over their last 10 games, and 11th (100.21) for the season. They will get a pace-down spot against the Kings, who have played at the 22nd-fastest pace (99.23) over their last 10 games, and rank 15th (99.79) for the season.

NBA DFS Injury Report Today

Below, find all of the NBA DFS Injury news for the NBA Friday games.

Notable Players Out

  • Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will sit tonight’s game vs. Portland as a rest day. Without Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams’ usage jumps up to 32.6%, compared to 26.9% with him.
  • Raptors G Brandon Ingram (ankle) has yet to make his debut for Toronto and will be re-evaluated in two weeks. Raptors G Gradey Dick (knee) will miss at least two weeks as well. The Raptors will continue to rely on the trie of R.J. Barrett, Scottie Barnes, and Immanuel Quickley to carry the offensive load.
  • Grizzlies F Jaren Jackson Jr. is listed as week-to-week after suffering a Grade 2 ankle sprain. In the first game without Jackson, Ja Morant scored 24 points, while PF Brandon Clarke led the bench playing 27 minutes, tallying 13 points and 11 rebounds. 
  • Trail Blazers C Robert Williams will sit this game and it severely hurts Portland’s depth at center with C Deandre Ayton also out. The Blazers will likely start Donovan Clingan at center.
  • Clippers G Norman Powell is the team’s leading scorer and will miss at least a week with a hamstring strain. James Harden scored 50 points in his absence in the last game, though Kawhi Leonard was also out and will return in this game.

Questionable or Game-Time Decisions

  • Nuggets C Nikola Jokic is questionable as he deals with an ankle issue. F Aaron Gordon also has an ankle injury and is a game-time decision. 
  • Suns G Bradley Beal (calf) hasn’t missed a game with this injury, and has been upgraded to probable today. 
  • Kings F Domantas Sabonis (hamstring) suffered a grade one hamstring strain and will be out till next week.
  • Jazz C Will Kessler (rest), G Collin Sexton (ankle), and G Keyonte George (illness) are listed as questionable against the Kings. Grizzlies F Santi Aldama (calf) missed the last game against the Thunder.
  • Mavericks G P.J. Washington (ankle) missed the last game against the Bucks and is game-time decision against the Grizzlies.
  • Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert (back) missed the last game against Charlotte and if he misses the game again, Naz Reid would get more playing time again.
  • Heat G Tyler Herro (illness) missed the last game and is a game-time decision. SF Andrew Wiggins has been dealing with an ankle issue and is questionable for this game.
  • Knicks G Jalen Brunson (ankle) is questionable for the matchup against the Clippers after playing 41 minutes in the overtime loss against the Lakers.
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With eight games on the NBA schedule for Friday, there’s a ton of NBA DFS picks to consider on tonight’s slate. PrizePicks is the best way to get in on all of the action. There is a large variety of player stat projections and squares on the board, so you can create your lineup however you want. With no salary or positional restrictions, you can pick any player on tonight’s slate.

Just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Use a 6-Pick Lineup of all Demon picks to reach 1000x payouts.

Check out our Playbook throughout the remainder of the NBA season for more basketball analysis for your PrizePicks and NBA DFS Lineups.

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