NFL Week One Preview, Storylines, and DFS Projections

September 7, 2023

September 7, 2023

NFL logo on football field

2023 NFL Week One Preview & Storylines

Is there anything better than NFL game day? After an offseason that always seems too long, the NFL is finally back. While we love the offseason drama, nothing compares to the feeling of when the first game kicks off every September.

From Tom Brady’s (second) retirement to Aaron Rodgers signing with the New York Jets, we’ve seen some huge moves this offseason. So sit back and get ready for some of the major storylines entering week one. And don’t forget to check out today’s board to lock in your entries.

Not a PrizePicks member yet? Sign up with promo code “Playbook” and get $50 instantly when you play your first $5 lineup!

Running Backs and Contract Disputes

As we’ve gotten used to in recent years, the NFL’s top running backs are getting little respect and little money from owners. Stars like Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, and Jonathan Taylor have all shared their frustrations with the current market for veteran RB contracts.

We’ve heard it before, running backs age quickly and lose value. But they rarely get paid fairly for the value they deliver on their first and second contracts. Jonathan Taylor requested a trade from the Colts this offseason after tensions between Taylor and Colts owner, Jim Irsay, escalated. 

Irsay claims Taylor isn’t as crucial to the Colts’ success as Taylor believes. While the concern of spending too much on a veteran RB is valid, Taylor is one of the only reasons the Colts have won anything in recent years. Unfortunately for running backs, that seems to be the state of their market.

Aaron Rodgers Moves to the New York Jets

After years of flirting with the idea of leaving Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers finally made the move this offseason and landed in New York. Rodgers, age 39, joins a squad of young and hopeful talent but will have to be a serious leader if he hopes to make any real noise in the stacked AFC this year. 

Coach Saleh and the rest of the organization seem more than excited to have the future hall-of-famer in their locker room despite his declining performances over the past few seasons. All eyes will be on the veteran QB this season as he leads the Jets in the hectic NYC market.

Not a PrizePicks member yet? Sign up with promo code “Playbook” and get $50 instantly when you play your first $5 lineup!

Top NFL DFS Projections Week One

The NFL and daily fantasy sports go together like peanut butter and jelly. And PrizePicks is serving DFS snacks all season long. We’ll guide you through the top picks for each week and all of the hottest games. Get ready for NFL DFS action with PrizePicks.

Fantasy Score

Jalen Hurts - QB, PHI

Despite losing a close game in the super bowl, Hurts put up major numbers last season and is poised to do the same this year. While the hangover from a super bowl loss can be real, Hurts doesn’t show any signs of slowing down or taking a step backwards this season.

Last season, Jalen earned nearly 4,000 yards through the air and over 750 on the ground. The dual-threat QB will surely be looking to top that and lead his team back to the big game in February. Look for Hurts to come out swinging in week one.

To view all NFL Week One DFS projections on the board, click here.

Rush Yards

Derrick Henry - RB, TEN

With all the offseason drama between running backs and front office staff, now it’s time for the players to show why they deserve the big checks. Derrick Henry has been a monster in fantasy and on the field in recent years. 

Henry is currently projected to rush for the most yards out of anyone on the board. After rushing for over 1,500 yards and 13 TDs last year, it’s no surprise. A healthy Derrick Henry is a scary sight for any defense. 

To view all NFL Week One DFS projections on the board, click here.

Completions in First 10 Pass Attempts

Patrick Mahomes - QB, KC

Efficiency is everything in the NFL. At the quarterback position, it’s no different. Patrick Mahomes is the perfect balance between electric highlights and robot-like efficiency. 

Travis Kelce, Mahomes’ favorite target won’t be on the field with Patrick in week one due to an injury, but that shouldn’t slow down Mahomes. Andy Reid is sure draw up a few plays to let the 2x MVP shine and stay consistent.

To view all NFL Week One DFS projections on the board, click here.

Pass TDs

Dak Prescott - QB, DAL

Another interesting storyline developing this season- Dak Prescott finds himself on the hot seat entering the 2023 season as Dallas signed QB Trey Lance this offseason to back up Dak. After sustaining a few injuries and only achieving moderate regular season success, Dak will have to deliver this season if he wants to remain a Cowboy.

In week one Dak is projected at 1.5 passing TDs. Last season he averaged just under 2 per game. Dallas takes on a hungry New York Giants squad on Sunday. Prescott and crew will need a big performance to kick off the season right.

To view all NFL Week One DFS projections on the board, click here.

NFL Week One Daily Fantasy Sports with PrizePicks

We’re cooking up the hottest projections and NFL storylines all year here at PrizePicks. Follow along so you don’t miss any of the drama or DFS action. The NFL is back, and so is NFL DFS.

Not a PrizePicks member yet? Sign up with promo code “Playbook” and get $50 instantly when you play your first $5 lineup!

More Fresh Picks & Insights

NFL Thanksgiving Game Picks: Giants vs. Cowboys for NFL DFS

Get the top NFL Thanksgiving Game picks for the Giants vs. Cowboys showdown at 4:30 p.m. ET, including projections for WRs Malik Nabers and CeeDee Lamb.

Read more

NFL Thanksgiving Game Picks: Bears vs. Lions for NFL DFS

Get three NFL DFS picks for the Bears vs. Lions showdown to kickoff the Thanksgiving NFL Games on PrizePicks, including projections and a TD scorer prediction.

Read more

Who to Start in Fantasy Football? NFL Week 13 First Look

Find the best players to start in fantasy football for Week 13 in this NFL first look, including PrizePicks projections.

Read more

2025 Fantasy Football Playoffs: How do the Playoffs Work?

Find out all you need to know about the 2025 fantasy football playoffs, including when the typical playoffs start, end, and how they work.

Read more

What NFL Games are on Thanksgiving 2024? Thanksgiving Game Predictions

We’ve got three Thanksgiving NFL Games in 2024 to kick off Week 13. Find predictions for all three Thanksgiving games, including scores here.

Read more

Ravens vs. Chargers: Monday Night Football Picks and Predictions

Lock in with Ravens vs. Chargers picks for tonight's showdown in Week 12. Explore the top Monday Night Football picks and projections on PrizePicks.

Read more
PrizePicks Logomark

Time to hit the lab

Get $50 instantly when you play your first $5 Lineup!

Join the largest squad in Daily Fantasy Sports

Join our Discord
let’s goooo