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Conference Championship Games NFL DFS Picks, Predictions & Matchups

January 23, 2025

January 23, 2025

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce celebrates during the AFC Divisional Playoff game against the Houston Texans on January 18, 2025. Travis Kelce is a top NFL DFS pick for PrizePicks for the NFL Conference Championships.

Perry Knotts/Getty Images

We are down to the final four Playoff teams in the NFL. The Chiefs will host the Bills in the AFC Championship Game, while the Commanders will take on the Eagles in the NFC Championship Game.

Below we’ll dig into four of the best NFL DFS picks for the Conference Championship games by highlighting some of the top projections to target on PrizePicks to help build your Lineups. We’ll also dive deep into the Conference Championship matchups to take advantage of in NFL DFS.

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NFL Conference Championship Picks for DFS & PrizePicks

NFL Conference Championship Matchups

Here are the notable stats and matchups to know ahead of the NFL Conference Championships on Sunday, January 26.

NFC Championship: Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Date: Sunday, January 26, 2025

Time: 3 p.m. ET

TV: FOX

  • Including the playoffs, the Eagles are 10-1 at home. The Commanders are 7-3 on the road.
  • The Commanders beat the Eagles in Washington this season, but they lost to the Eagles in Philadelphia, 26-18. In the second half, QB Jalen Hurts left in the middle of the game.
  • Commanders QB Jayden Daniels threw for just 191 yards and one touchdown against the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 11.
  • In Week 11, Eagles RB Saquon Barkley ran for 146 yards and two touchdowns against the Commanders. In Week 16, he ran for 150 yards and two touchdowns against them. 
  • Per 4for4, the Commanders allowed the ninth-highest explosive rush percentage (11.02%) in the league during the regular season.
  • The Eagles had the second-best pass EPA per play allowed (-0.09) in the league during the regular season, per 4for4.
  • Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has topped 250 passing yards only once since Week 6.

AFC Championship: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Sunday, January 26, 2025

Time: 6:30 p.m. ET

TV: CBS

  • The Bills went 8-0 at home during the regular season, but were just 5-4 on the road.
  • In Week 11, the Bills defeated the Chiefs in Buffalo, 30-21.
  • Despite losing to the Bills in Week 11, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes had three touchdown passes in the game. He also threw two interceptions.
  • Mahomes has gone seven-straight games since that loss without throwing an interception.
  • The Chiefs allowed the fifth-lowest explosive pass percentage (11.35%) in the league during the regular season, per 4for4.
  • The Bills allowed the highest explosive rush percentage (12.41%) in the league, per 4for4.
  • After posting just one game with at least 100 receiving yards during the regular season, Chiefs TE Travis Kelce caught seven of eight targets for 117 yards and a touchdown against the Texans in the Divisional Round.
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NFL Conference Championship NFL DFS Picks

Below, find the top NFL Conference Championship picks for NFL DFS on PrizePicks. Use these player picks to build your NFL Lineups on PrizePicks.

Bills QB Josh Allen 9.5 Rush Attempts – More

Conference Championship Games NFL DFS Picks - Josh Allen

Bills QB Josh Allen carried 10 times for 20 yards and two touchdowns against the Ravens last week. That came on the heels of his eight carries in a blowout win over the Broncos in the previous round. When it matters the most, Allen tends to run more. He had 12 carries against the Chiefs in Week 11. He had 10 carries against them in Week 14 last season, which he then followed up with 12 carries when he faced them in the Divisional Round.

As the Bills try to reach the Super Bowl, expect Allen to try and get them there with his legs.

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce 70.5 Receiving Yards – More

Conference Championship Games NFL DFS Picks - Travis Kelce

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce shines when it matters the most, which he showed with his 117 receiving yards against the Texans last week. He has not had fewer than 71 receiving yards in a playoff game since 2019. When these two teams met in the playoffs last season, Kelce had 75 receiving yards. In their 2021 playoff matchup, Kelce had 96 receiving yards. The Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes should look his way early and often in this game, giving him a favorable opportunity to surpass this projection.

Best TD Scorer Pick: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts

Conference Championship Games NFL DFS Picks - Jalen Hurts

Eagles QB Jalen Hurts scored yet another rushing touchdown against the Rams last week. That came on the heels of his 14 rushing touchdowns during the regular season. One of those came against the Commanders in Week 11.

Hurts has scored at least one rushing touchdown in four of his seven career playoff games. Given the Commanders’ inability to slow down the run, Hurts could receive more than opportunity for a “Tush Push” touchdown.

Goblin Pick: Eagles RB Saquon Barkley 99.5 Rush Yards – More

Conference Championship Games NFL DFS Picks - Saquon Barkley

Eagles RB Saquon Barkley has been given at least 25 carries in both playoff games for the Eagles. That enabled him to record at least 119 rushing yards in both games. Dating back to the regular season, Barkley has posted at least 100 rushing yards in 11 of his last 13 games. That included both matchups against the Commanders in which he had at least 146 rushing yards. Look for him to shine again with a Super Bowl berth on the line.

Note: Goblin picks reduce your payout on PrizePicks, as they are easier projections to hit.

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Build Your Conference Championship Game NFL DFS Lineup on PrizePicks

The Chiefs, Bills, Eagles, and Commanders will be playing Sunday in the Conference Championship Games with their eyes set on reaching the 2025 Super Bowl. There is no better way to get in on the action than by building an NFL DFS team on PrizePicks for the Conference Championships.

There are no salary constraints, so pick two or more projections for your favorite players, finalize your lineup, sit back, and enjoy the games. Come back to the Playbook all week for more picks and analysis on the Conference Championship Games.

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