Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks, Predictions & Top Matchups
After a Wild Card Weekend that didn’t bring many competitive games, we have four more NFL Playoff games to enjoy for the Divisional Round. There will be two games played Saturday, followed by two more Sunday.
Let’s dig into some of the best NFL DFS picks for the Divisional Round by highlighting some of the top projections to target on PrizePicks, plus a look at the data for every Divisional Round matchup.
NFL Divisional Round Picks for DFS & PrizePicks
Divisional Round Matchups for 2025 NFL Playoffs: Key Stats
Here are key stats and metrics for the four Divisional Round matchups in the NFL Playoffs this weekend. Find the full schedule of Divisional Round games plus predictions here.
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs, January 18, 4:30 p.m. ET
- The Chiefs went 8-0 at home during the regular season. Texans were 5-4 on the road.
- The Texans picked off Justin Herbert four times in the Wild Card Round. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes has not thrown an interception since Week 11.
- In the two games with WR Hollywood Brown active, the Chiefs ranked fifth in the NFL in EPA (.214) and fourth in dropback EPA (.367), while ranking ninth (.068) and 10th (.131) respectively in the previous 15 weeks.
- The Texans defense ranks third in EPA per play this season at -.075, with a fully healthy front seven for this game.
- These two teams played each other in Kansas City in Week 16. The Chiefs won 27-19, as the Texans offense stalled after the injury to WR Tank Dell.
- In the last meeting between these two teams, Texans Dell had six receptions for 98 yards and one touchdown. He is out for the rest of the season with a torn ACL.
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Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions, January 18, 8 p.m. ET
- The Lions went 7-2 at home this season. The Commanders were 5-3 on the road.
- Lions RB David Montgomery (knee) is expected to return from a three-game absence. CB Terrion Arnold should also return after getting in two full practices already this week.
- In his first playoff game, Commanders QB Jayden Daniels threw for 268 yards and two touchdowns against the Buccaneers last week. He also added 13 carries for 36 yards.
- Since Week 12, the Commanders defense ranks 22nd in the NFL with a dropback EPA/play of .14 — worst among remaining teams. Next worse is the Lions, at .108 EPA per dropback.
- Look for a shootout in this game. These teams rank top 10 in virtually every offensive metric: yards per game, rushing yards, third-down conversion rate, fourth-down conversion rate, score percentage, and points per game (both are top five).
- Including the playoffs, Daniels has recorded at least 10 carries in a game seven times.
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles, January 19, 3:00 p.m. ET
- The Rams will be on a short week after having played their previous game on Monday in Arizona, while the Eagles played at home on Sunday night.
- However, the Rams are 17-8 in Eastern Time Zone with Sean McVay as coach.
- Including their win over the Packers last week, the Eagles are 9-1 at home.
- These two teams met in Los Angeles in Week 12. The Eagles won that game 37-20, with the Rams defense showing little resistance.
- Since Week 15, the Rams have given up the second-fewest points in the NFL, including a 30-pointer in a game where the team rested starters.
- Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has only thrown for over 250 yards four times this season, and once since Week 6 — a 264-yard performance vs. the Browns.
- On the other side, Rams QB Matthew Stafford has thrown for 250 yards seven times this year, but hasn’t gone more than 220 in his last four games.
- Eagles RB Saquon Barkley dominated these teams’ first matchup, turning 26 carries into 255 yards and two touchdowns.
- Rams TE Tyler Higbee (chest) is expected to play despite leaving last week’s game. The Rams could be missing CB Ahkello Witherspoon and DT Bobby Brown, who left last week’s game and did not return.
- Eagles WR A.J. Brown (knee) missed practice on Wednesday after having only 1 catch for 10 yards last week. He is still expected to play.
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills, January 19, 6:30 p.m. ET
- Including the playoffs, the Bills are 9-0 at home. The Ravens are 6-3 on the road.
- Counting their playoff win over the Steelers last week, the Ravens have won five straight games, and allowed the fewest points in the NFL over that stretch.
- The Bills played the Ravens in Baltimore in Week 4. The Ravens dominated, winning 35-10.
- Buffalo was missing key defensive pieces in that game, including LB Terrel Bernard, LB Matt Milano, and CB Taron Johnson. The defense is near full strength now.
- Bills QB Josh Allen has struggled in the past vs. the Ravens in four games. Over those four games, on average: 48.7% completion, 153.3 passing yards, 31.5 rushing yards, 0.5 touchdowns.
- The Ravens are first in opponent dropback EPA and second in opponent dropback success rate since Week 10, when they made key adjustments to their scheme, setting up another tough matchup for Allen.
- The Ravens are first in rush yards allowed per game at 80, while giving up 3.6 yards per rush.
- Bills QB Josh Allen leads the current MVP race, while Lamar Jackson is in second.
- Ravens RB Derrick Henry had 24 carries for 199 yards and a touchdown in that game.
- Ravens WR Zay Flowers (knee) is uncertain to play after sitting out last week against the Steelers, though he has a better chance than last week.
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Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks for PrizePicks
Use these picks for the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs to help build your NFL DFS Lineups on PrizePicks this weekend.
Ravens RB Derrick Henry 19.5 Rush Attempts — More
Ravens RB Derrick Henry dominated in the Ravens’ win over the Steelers last week, rushing 26 times for 186 yards and 2 touchdowns. That marked his fourth-straight game with at least 20 carries.
Henry had eight games during the regular season in which he received at least 20 carries, which included that 24-carry performance against the Bills. As the Ravens try to advance to the next round, look for them to lean heavily on Henry to get them there, as they do their best to control the clock.
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Texans TE Dalton Schultz 35.5 Receiving Yards — More
Texans TE Dalton Schultz posted just two receptions for 23 yards last week. That marked his third straight game with fewer than 30 receiving yards. However, it’s this matchup against the Chiefs that is so appealing.
During the regular season, the Chiefs allowed the most receiving yards (1,191) and were tied for the second-most receptions allowed (106) to tight ends in the league. This is due mostly to offenses looking to the middle of the field against the Chiefs, as they have some of the best boundary corners in the league.
In Week 16, Schultz caught five of eight targets for 45 yards and a touchdown against the Chiefs.
Best TD Scorer Pick: Ravens WR Rashod Bateman (Demon)
Ravens WR Rashod Bateman was only targeted two times against the Steelers last week, but he still came away with a touchdown. That marked the fourth time over the last five games that he has reached the end zone. He had nine total touchdown receptions during the regular season.
Especially if Flowers is out or limited, Bateman could see a lot more targets in what should be a closer game. Even if Flowers plays, Bateman should receive additional opportunities to reach the end zone in a likely high-scoring affair.
Note: Demon picks add a payout boost to your lineup on PrizePicks, as they are more difficult projections to hit.
Goblin Pick: Chiefs WR Xavier Worthy 39.5 Receiving Yards — More
Excluding Week 18 when the Chiefs sat most of their key players, Chiefs WR Xavier Worthy has posted at least 41 receiving yards in each of his last seven games. He played well against the Texans in Week 16, catching seven passes for 65 yards and a touchdown.
Helping his cause to surpass this projection is that Worthy has received at least six targets in each of his last six games, excluding Week 18. In the two games with Hollywood Brown back from injury, Worthy has averaged 10 targets, 7.5 receptions, 72 yards, and a touchdown.
Note: Goblin picks reduce your payout on PrizePicks, as they are easier projections to hit.
Build Your Divisional Round NFL DFS Lineup on PrizePicks
We are down to the final eight teams in the 2025 NFL Playoffs as we get into the Divisional Round. There is no better way to get in on the action than by building an NFL DFS team on PrizePicks for the Divisional Round.
There are no salary constraints, so pick two or more projections for your favorite players in these Playoff games, finalize your lineup, sit back, and enjoy the games.
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