2025 MLB HR Projections, Picks for MLBSZN on PrizePicks
The 2025 MLB season is just around the corner, and it’s time to lock in, whether you’re drafting your fantasy baseball team or building your season-long MLB Lineup with PrizePicks MLBSZN.
Home run totals are always a very coveted stat in fantasy baseball. With MLBSZN on PrizePicks, you can cash in on the long ball this year by picking more or less on a player’s home runs for the 2025 MLB season. Can Juan Soto’s power hold up in a tougher ballpark? Is Bobby Witt Jr. primed to launch bombs in 2025?
Below, we’ll dive into the data to give you a full guide for MLB HR picks and projections ahead of the 2025 fantasy baseball season, including who top picks on the MLBSZN home runs board. We’ll break down four MLB players and how their new environment, and last season performances will impact their HR total this season.
Don’t miss out — visit the PrizePicks MLBSZN board now for season-long projections, lock in your picks, and get in on all the real money action as you chase home run success this fantasy baseball season.
2025 MLB Home Run Projections, Picks for MLBSZN
Here are four of the top MLB Home Run Projections to target on PrizePicks MLBSZN — a season-long fantasy baseball game.
- Cubs OF Kyler Tucker 29.5 HR
- Mets OF Juan Soto 34.5 HR
- Phillies OF Bryce Harper 28.5 HR
- Royals SS Bobby Witt 31.5 HR
Find all of the 2025 MLB home run projections here.
Cubs OF Kyle Tucker — 29.5 HR
Kyle Tucker is set to change scenery as he moves from the Houston Astros to the Chicago Cubs — a transition that could negatively impact his home run total due to Wrigley Field’s unique wind conditions.
Last season, despite battling injuries, Tucker hit 23 home runs — significantly outperforming his expected rate of 16.8 according to Baseball Savant, the third highest overperformance in the MLB.
However, detailed analysis indicates that only six of his 23 homers would have cleared the fence in all 30 MLB stadiums, and nine of his home runs were context-dependent, counting as homers in just a subset of ballparks.
In a hypothetical scenario where every game was played at Wrigley Field, only 19 of his homers would have registered as home runs — down four from his total.
Mets OF Juan Soto — 34.5 HR
Juan Soto — the massive $765 million acquisition for the New York Mets — faces a notable change in scenery when it comes to his home run projection in 2025. Soto will move from the hitter-friendly environment of Yankee Stadium — a venue known for favoring left-handed batters — to one of the larger ballparks inShea Stadium.
Soto recently posted a career-high of 41 home runs in his seven-year MLB career, a performance aided by the challenges posed by teammates Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge.
An analysis of his 45 home runs reveals that a significant 16 of them were contingent on favorable ballpark factors — only clearing the fence in one to seven stadiums, which ranked him sixth in the league for such metrics. In contrast, only 24% of his 45 home runs would have counted in every MLB ballpark.
After a standout season behind the plate, the new environment could alter Soto’s production profile, even after he signed a massive deal with the Mets.
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Phillies OF Bryce Harper — 28.5 HR
Bryce Harper hit 30 home runs last season during a healthy season — his highest output since 2020. But his numbers were buoyed by a few lucky bounces according to the metrics.
He finished with 31 home runs, exceeding his projection of 25.7 by five. Moreover, analysis shows that only 10 of Harper’s 31 homers would have been true homers in every MLB ballpark, while 13 of them depended on favorable park factors.
Royals SS Bobby Witt Jr. — 31.5 HR
No player in MLB is more primed for a positive regression than Kansas City Royals’ shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. — and that’s saying something after his stellar 204 season. Despite slashing for 32 home runs, his expected total was just over 38, per Baseball Savant. Notably, only 22 of his 32 homers would have been counted in every ballpark — ranking as the fifth-best universal home run rate in the league.
Witt has consistently increased his home run totals every season since his debut in 2022, when he hit 20 in 150 games. It’s also worth noting that he played in 161 games last year as the key cog for the Royals, so as long as he stays healthy, he should max out his at-bat opportunities.
Lock in for MLBSZN on PrizePicks
You’ve got the MLB picks for the MLBSZN, now it’s time to build your MLB Lineup on PrizePicks. All you have to do is pick more or less on at least two player projections to win real money during the 2025 fantasy baseball season.
You don’t have to have the perfect draft to get a squad you love like fantasy baseball — you can pick any player on the board and ride your takes all season long.
Whether you’re going for there’s always real money sports action waiting for you on PrizePicks. Use these picks, stay in the green, and cash out when the games are over.
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