How Many Home Runs Will Juan Soto Hit in 2025?

One of the biggest moves of the offseason saw Juan Soto leave the Yankees for the Mets. Let’s examine his 2025 fantasy baseball projections and discuss how many home runs he could hit in 2025 ahead of Opening Day. 

These fantasy baseball projections come from the MLBSZN board on PrizePicks, where you can build your season-long fantasy baseball Lineup, however you want. While PrizePicks is known for its daily fantasy game, MLBSZN allows you to build a Lineup for the whole season and get paid for your 2025 MLB takes. 

Whether you want to attack home runs, strikeouts, or RBIs, MLBSZN has some of everything.

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Juan Soto 2024 Stats

Soto’s lone season with the Yankees couldn’t have gone much better. He helped lead the team to the World Series, although they ultimately lost to the Dodgers. Soto launched 41 home runs during the regular season, which was the highest mark of his career. 

Excluding the shortened 2020 season, Soto posted the best slugging percentage (.569) of his career and his second-highest OBP (.419). He also blew past his previous career high with 128 runs scored, which was aided by Yankees OF Aaron Judge hitting behind him.

Soto totaled 166 hits in 157 games, adding on 109 RBIs for the second year in a row.

Juan Soto 2025 Fantasy Baseball Projections

Here are all of Soto’s projections for the 2025 MLB season, via the MLBSZN board on PrizePicks. You can pick More or Less on these projections to win real money on PrizePicks.

• 154.5 Hits
• 102.5 RBIs
• 34.5 Home Runs
• 7.5 Stolen Bases
• 1.5 Triples
• 3 Multi-HR Games

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Comparing 2025 Projections vs. Historical Data

Soto’s projection for 2025 is 34.5 home runs. Prior to 2024, Soto had never hit more than 35 home runs in a season. He hit 35 home runs in 2023, 27 home runs in 2022, and 29 home runs in 2021. 

What helps Soto’s case for racking up home runs has been his ability to stay in the lineup on a daily basis. He has played in at least 150 games in each of the last five full seasons. Two seasons ago, he appeared in all 162 games for the Padres.

The short porch at Yankee Stadium also aided in Soto’s career-best HR number — which you can read more about here.

Projection Relative to Peers

Soto’s 41 home runs last season ranked fourth in the majors behind Judge (58), Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani (54), and Orioles OF Anthony Santander (44). They were the only four players who hit at least 40 home runs. There were 11 total players who launched at least 35 home runs.

There are only five players who have a higher home run projection than Soto for 2025. They are Judge (49.5), Ohtani (43.5), Phillies OF Kyle Schwarber (36.5), Astros DH Yordan Alvarez (35.5), and Athletics OF Brent Rooker (35.5).

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Will Juan Soto Thrive with the Mets?

While projections offer a baseline, Soto’s production the last two seasons showed that he could exceed his 2025 projection in home runs. However, doing so outside of the friendly confines of Yankee Stadium might make the task more difficult. 

There are also plenty of other projections to sift through for MLBSZN on PrizePicks. Find out more about how to play the season-long fantasy baseball game on PrizePicks here.

The stat options include, home runs, hits, and RBIs, so you can pick several stats to target on any player you like in 2025. Select your favorite players, build your Lineup, and follow along throughout the regular season to cash in.