Missouri vs. Texas A&M Picks & Predictions for CFB DFS
It’s Week 6 in college football, and we have ranked an SEC matchup that could have huge implications on conference and College Football Playoff standings between Missouri and Texas A&M.
No. 9 Missouri wants to put itself in the forefront of this conference, and we are seeing a much better No. 25 Texas A&M team than most thought going into this season.
Below, we will give four of the top CFB DFS picks for this Missouri and Texas A&M matchup. Use these picks to build your Lineups on PrizePicks for CFB Saturday.
Find picks and predictions for the full CFB DFS slate in the Week 6 CFB Cheat Sheet.
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No. 9 Missouri vs. No. 25 Texas A&M: How to Watch, Time, Location
Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
Time: 12 p.m. ET kickoff
Location: Kyle Field, College Station. Tex.
TV: ABC/ESPN+
It feels like Missouri has been on the cusp of being a power team in the SEC, but they’ve always faltered and never materialized. This is the best team head coach Eliah Drinkwitz has ever had, led by QB Brady Cook, and they could finally make the Tigers into a team with postseason potential.
Head coach Mike Elko has helped the Aggies from an early season loss to win four straight and now get their first ranked opponent since Notre Dame. The defense has been incredible, and although they lost their starting quarterback, the offense has been able to adjust.
They hope QB Connor Weigman is able to play. If so, he would bring a passing element that hasn’t been part of the offense recently.
Missouri vs. Texas A&M Predictions for PrizePicks
Missouri QB Brady Cook 199.5 Passing Yards— MORE (Goblin)
Missouri WR Luther Burden 74.5 Receiving Yards — MORE
Texas A&M RB Le’Veon Moss 89.5 Rushing Yards — MORE (Demon)
Texas A&M WR Noah Thomas 42.5 Receiving Yards — LESS
Missouri QB Brady Cook 199.5 Passing Yards— MORE (Goblin)
QB Brady Cook has maintained efficiency in his passing game, increasing his completion percentage from 66.1% to 68.7%. However, what’s been missing are the big plays, as his yards per pass have significantly dropped from 9.0 to 7.1.
We might see some of that explosiveness in this game, as Texas A&M ranks 64th in passing yards allowed (207.0 per game), but what's alarming is their 11.50 yards per completion.
What has helped Cook is the improvement of the offensive line. Their 80.2 PFF Pass Block Grade is fifth in the SEC, and they’ve only allowed four sacks.
Cook should cruise over this number in what should be a close game.
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Missouri WR Luther Burden 74.5 Receiving Yards — MORE
What makes Cook and the Tigers work so well is that they have a few great receivers with unique skills. WR Luther Burden is a dynamic and explosive runner who can make chunk plays; all four of the team's receiving touchdowns have come from him.
This will be one to watch during the defensive matchups because Burden could have a huge day in the slot, where he plays 95% of his snaps this season. Tyreek Chappell, the starting slot cornerback for Texas A&M, will miss the rest of the season.
Enter BJ Mayes, a transfer from Alabama-Birmingham, who just made his first FBS start. The veteran Cook will know this going in and try to exploit that matchup.
Texas A&M RB Le’Veon Moss 89.5 Rushing Yards — MORE (Demon)
It won’t matter who is in the lineup — Texas A&M has been able to rely on RB Le’Veon Moss in the run game. The junior is getting his first opportunity as the RB1, ranking 20th in rushing yards and 21st in yards per carry (6.2) in the nation among running backs with at least 50 carries.
If you want a glimpse of how well he’s been running, look at his performance against Arkansas. The Hogs had not allowed a 100-yard rusher all year, including last year’s FBS rushing leader, Oklahoma State’s Ollie Gordon, but Moss tagged them for 117 yards.
This game script could be different here, with QB Connor Weigman likely getting the start, but they will still lean on the run. Moss has shown he’s a matchup-proof play and could have a big game against a solid rush defense that ranks 18th in run play expected points added (-.102).
Texas A&M WR Noah Thomas 42.5 Receiving Yards — LESS
Texas A&M will need its defense and run game to stay competitive because moving the ball through the air will be difficult. The Missouri secondary is holding its own, ranking fifth in the nation in passing yards allowed (127.2 per game) and 18th in defensive dropback EPA (-0.095).
Despite being 6-foot-6, Thomas has never been able to use that to his advantage. He doesn’t get physical enough to shake off defenders or use his legs to break away. Thomas has only topped this number once this year, and he’s averaging less than six targets a game.
Thomas will likely match up with Toriano Pride, one of the top-rated defensive backs in college football, who can shadow him and cut off passes. It should be another tough day for Thomas.
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Missouri versus Texas A&M has the potential to be a memorable matchup that makes or breaks these team’s CFB Playoff hopes, so tune in when they kick off at noon ET.
There are many ways to get real money action on this SEC game on PrizePicks. Pick more or less on at least two player projections from Missouri or Texas A&M, like the ones above, lock in your Lineup, and win up to 200x your money.
Follow John Supowitz for more CFB Picks: @ImThatSupi
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