Penn State vs. Oregon Picks & Predictions for Big Ten Championship
The Big Ten Championship is set for Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Ind. between Penn State and Oregon. Oregon remains the only perfect team in college football, and the Ducks will put that and the first seed in the College Football Playoffs on the line against Penn State on Saturday.
We’ll give you the top Penn State vs. Oregon picks for Saturday’s Championship Game, Penn State vs. Oregon, including a prediction for the game and CFB DFS picks tailored for PrizePicks.
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Big Ten Championship: Penn State vs. Oregon Picks & Predictions
Here are the best Penn State vs. Oregon picks for the Big Ten Championship Game on Saturday, December 7, for CFB DFS on PrizePicks.
- Where to Watch the Big Ten Championship
- Penn St. vs. Oregon Prediction
- Big Ten Championship Picks for PrizePicks
- Penn State QB Drew Allar 27.5 Pass Attempts — More
- Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel 236.5 Passing Yards — More
- Oregon RB Jordan James 119.5 Rushing Yards — More (Demon)
#3 Penn State vs. #1 Oregon: How to Watch, When, Preview
Date: Saturday, December 7, 2024
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Where to Watch: CBS
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Ind.
For Penn State to pull off an upset, the Nittany Lions defensive front must pressure Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel. Oregon’s pass blocking has improved throughout the season, with a solid 75.7 PFF pass protection grade (43rd). However, Penn State’s pass rush ranks eighth (87.5), just below Oregon’s (88.3).
When comparing their common opponent, Ohio State, Oregon looks superior. Gabriel went 23-for-34 for 341 yards, two passing touchdowns, and a rushing touchdown, while Penn State QB Drew Allar managed just 12-for-20 for 146 yards and an interception.
Penn State’s run game, once formidable, has regressed from expectation. RB Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen were a strong duo, but Allen has averaged under three yards per carry in four of his last five games, and Singleton has rushed for under 50 yards in five of his last seven, though he has looked more explosive in recent weeks.
Oregon's consistency and explosiveness give them the edge. Expect the Ducks to find a way to win.
Big Ten Championship Prediction: Oregon 31, Penn State 17
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Big Ten Championship: Penn State vs Oregon Picks for PrizePicks
Here are the best Penn State vs. Oregon picks for the Big Ten Championship Game on Saturday, December 7, for CFB DFS on PrizePicks.
Penn State QB Drew Allar 28 Pass Attempts — More
Drew Allar had his best season as Penn State’s quarterback this year, recording a career-high 2,668 passing yards and a 71.6% completion rate. Impressive numbers, but this will be his toughest test against Oregon, which ranks fifth in PFF coverage grade (91.7) and eighth in passing yards allowed (171.5).
Two narratives could play out: either the Ducks shut down Allar entirely, or Penn State finds themselves playing catch-up and needing to throw the ball. While this scenario might not lead to a massive deficit, it could keep both the passing and running games open.
The Nittany Lions have rarely played from behind this season, but they do face the best offense they’ve seen all year. Allar will need to throw a lot to keep PSU in this game.
Allar has played two games that were decided by less than 7 points, and he had 43 and 28 attempts in those games. Against Ohio State, Penn State went conservative and Allar only threw 20 times in a seven-point loss.
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Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel 236.5 Passing Yards — More
Oregon QB Dillon Gabriel has posted stellar numbers throughout his college career, but one thing eludes him: a national championship. He ranks eighth in passing efficiency, tenth in passing yards (3,275), and should be a Heisman Trophy finalist this season.
Penn State has boasted an excellent pass defense all season, but unlike Allar, Gabriel has faced elite competition. The Nittany Lions rank 21st in PFF coverage grade (89.7). Gabriel has already played two teams in the top 20 — Ohio State (341 passing yards) and Washington (209).
The contrasting performances suggest a closer game, but the Ohio State contest could provide a glimpse of what to expect from Gabriel and this Oregon offense.
Oregon RB Jordan James 119.5 Rushing Yards — More (Demon)
Oregon’s stellar running game, averaging 4.8 yards per carry, is led by Jordan James, who ranks 20th nationally with 1,116 rushing yards. James has been incredibly consistent, never rushing for under four yards per carry in a game and surpassing five yards in 10 of 12 contests.
Penn State allows the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game (97.0), but James thrives under pressure. He shined against Ohio State, rushing for 116 yards and a touchdown, and excelled against Michigan State’s 36th-ranked rushing defense, tallying 166 yards and another score.
Note: Demon picks add a payout boost to your lineup on PrizePicks, as they are more difficult projections to hit.
Win Real Money on the Big Ten Championship Game: Penn State vs. Oregon
On Saturday night, we’ll see Penn State vs. Oregon, in the Big Ten Championship, and this game will be a big factor in CFB Playoff seeding. The winner will get a first-round bye, with the other likely getting a home game in the first-round.
Use the picks to help you make your CFB DFS Lineups on PrizePicks. Get in on the real money action during the conference championships and College Football Playoffs on PrizePicks by choosing more or less on player projections.
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