Week 6 CFB DFS Picks: Cheat Sheet for PrizePicks
Week 6 of the college football season brings us many interesting matchups. There have been big swings in the rankings, and now many teams have no room for error.
This week’s CFB DFS picks feature some players on those teams, including Georgia QB Carson Beck, who is coming off his loss to Alabama.
In the Week 6 CFB Cheat Sheet, we'll examine some of the top plays for this Saturday, as we have a couple of ranked teams on the road against unranked conference opponents. Lock in these CFB picks in your PrizePicks Lineups and let's follow up last week's games with another cash.
You can find picks and predictions for the top-25 SEC matchup between Missouri and Texas A&M here.
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CFB DFS Picks for Week 6
- USC QB Miller Moss 1.5 Passing Touchdowns — More (Goblin)
- Georgia QB Carson Beck 299.5 Yards — More (Demon)
- Auburn QB Payton Thorne 0.5 Interceptions — More (Goblin)
- Arkansas RB Ja’Quinden Jackson 67.5 Rushing Yards — Less
- Ohio State TreVeyon Henderson 53.5 Rushing Yards — Less
- Ole Miss RB Henry Parrish 81.5 Rushing Yards — Less
- Duke WR Jordan Moore 73.5 Receiving Yards — More
- Alabama WR Ryan Williams 99.5 Receiving Yards — More (Demon)
- Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith 29.5 Longest Reception — Less
QB Picks for CFB DFS
USC QB Miller Moss 1.5 Passing Touchdowns — MORE (Goblin Pick)
USC has not had an easy run recently. Two weeks ago, they were favorites on the road against Michigan, but they lost a close one, with the Wolverines only having 34 passing yards. Last week, they were down 21-10 at halftime to Wisconsin before scoring 28 unanswered points for the 38-21 win.
You look at the stats and get nervous when you see Minnesota has allowed the fewest passing yards this season, but they are pulling the wool over your eyes.
They have faced some heavy-run teams. Of their FBS opponents, Iowa is 13th in run play percentage (62.7%), Michigan is 15th (62.3%), and North Carolina only attempted 23 passes in that matchup.
USC is the best team Minnesota has faced in dropback expected points added (EPA) per play by a long shot, as Minnesota's past FBS opponents rank 66th, 84th, 115th, and 106th (in order) in the same stat.
If the Trojans continually attack through the air, the Trojans can wear down this secondary. QB Miller Moss will have a better game and grab a couple of touchdowns.
Georgia QB Carson Beck 299.5 Yards — MORE (Demon)
Last week, we saw a classic between Alabama and Georgia. At halftime, the Bulldogs looked dead in the water, but we saw why Georgia QB Carson Beck is considered a top prospect going into the 2025 NFL Draft.
Alabama did a great job disguising blitzes and forcing Beck to make bad throws in the first half. He made the adjustments in the second and threw for over 300 yards in the final 30 minutes.
This could be a game where he is in rhythm from the start. Auburn is 12th in the SEC in PFF Coverage Grade (74.2) and 105th nationally in dropback EPA (.072). To be frank, the Tigers have been abysmal versus the pass, and they haven’t faced anyone close to Beck’s caliber.
The Tigers have talent up front on defense and might be able to slow down Georgia RB Trevor Etienne, so the air attack will be their best approach for Georgia.
Auburn QB Payton Thorne 0.5 Interceptions — MORE (Goblin Pick)
Most Auburn fans believed it would be an instant return to glory when they named Hugh Freeze head coach. It hasn’t worked that way.
Rebuilding a program takes time, so they didn’t try to spend NIL money on a new quarterback. QB Payton Thorne has had some good games but isn’t leading this team to an SEC championship.
He’s a risk taker and will take his shots, and his 10.6 yards per completion shows he can be successful. However, his six interceptions show he is very prone to make mistakes.
We knew Georgia’s defense wouldn’t perform well against Alabama, but this is still a good unit, as the 80.6 PFF Defensive Grade is 46th, and they’re 10th in dropback EPA per play.
Thorne has thrown an interception in three of four games, including four vs. California’s 62nd ranked pass defense by dropback EPA. and he’ll likely be throwing a lot if Auburn is playing from behind, giving Georgia plenty of opportunities to get an interception.
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Running Back Picks for CFB DFS
Arkansas RB Ja’Quinden Jackson 67.5 Rushing Yards — Less
Arkansas RB Ja’Quinden Jackson moved to the SEC after a successful stint with Utah, including leading the team with 797 rushing yards.
He had a great start to his Arkansas career with two games of over 140 rushing yards, but those numbers plummeted when he moved into conference play. In his first two SEC matchups, he has 102 total yards, but he has added three touchdowns.
Simply, Jackson has become the red zone running back due to the success of Arkansas QB Taylen Green's dynamic dual-threat ability, as he’s mostly handled the rushing between the 20s.
Tennessee is among the best against the run, with the second-best PFF Run Defense Grade (93.6) and the No. 1 spot in rush defense EPA per play. You saw Oklahoma tried to test them, which was a massive failure, as the Sooners totaled 36 rushing yards on 34 attempts.
Ohio State TreVeyon Henderson 53.5 Rushing Yards — Less
Ohio State looks like a National Championship contender with an exceptional offense and defense. The offense changes each year, with players going to the NFL and transfer portal, but they remain one of the best in the nation.
RB TreVeyon Henderson has been a mainstay for the last four years, but his role is different. He’s no longer the workhorse as in previous years; Henderson is third in carries (31) behind Quinshon Judkins (42) and James Peoples (32).
Even if he were getting 20 carries, Iowa’s run defense is one of the best in the country as the Hawkeyes are fourth in rushing yards allowed (62.0), 23rd in PFF Run Defense Grade, and have yet to allow a rushing touchdown.
Henderson's only encounter with the Hawkeyes was in 2022 when he carried the ball 11 times for 38 yards.
Ole Miss RB Henry Parrish 81.5 Rushing Yards — LESS
Ole Miss’ SEC Title dreams might be dashed after their loss last week, but the expanded playoffs still give them a chance. We could easily say Ole Miss was not tested until last week, and they were unprepared. Now they have to face a South Carolina team that demolished Kentucky.
The Gamecocks have an excellent defense. They have guys who can play well in coverage and push the opposing offensive line up front.
That’s what happened last week in the loss to Kentucky; Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart was going through his reads and couldn’t find anyone open, so the Kentucky defensive line was able to get to him.
Ole Miss RB Henry Parrish had one of his worst games last week, with a season-low 4.8 yards per carry, and now faces a Gamecocks defense allowing 3.1 yards per carry.
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Wide Receiver Picks for CFB DFS
Duke WR Jordan Moore 73.5 Receiving Yards — MORE
There was a massive comeback for Duke last week, as they scored 21 unanswered points to beat in-state rival North Carolina. WR Jordan Moore played a big part as he had a couple of explosive plays, and this was his second straight game with 20+ yards per catch.
Georgia Tech has been struggling in the secondary, and they are 90th in passing yards allowed per game (229.0), 124th in PFF Coverage Grade (56.6), and 120th in dropback EPA per play (.107). Moore should see Georgia Tech CB Ahmari Harvey, who’s allowed 203 receiving yards this year and 13.5 yards per reception.
It doesn’t hurt that Moore has at least 10 targets in every game this year, save for a blowout versus Middle Tennessee State.
Alabama WR Ryan Williams 99.5 Receiving Yards — MORE (Demon Pick)
The college football world had been buzzing about a 17-year-old true freshman wide receiver in Tuscaloosa; now they are fully electrified. I’m buying the hype.
It was the first time Williams was on the big stage in a primetime game against Georgia, and he excelled with six catches for 177 yards and a touchdown. He came through with a play we’ll remember for years to come.
This kid is showing maturity at an early stage, and in some cases, this game versus Vanderbilt is the kind of game you may not show up for; he’s showing he’s different.
This is one of those opportunities in which Vanderbilt could steal a game because of the situation after an exhaustion win, but they don’t have the talent to hold down the No. 1 team.
Williams should continue to excel against a team that’s 67th in PFF Coverage Grade (76.9), 71st in passing yards allowed per game (212.0), and 91st in dropback EPA per play (.046). Missouri WR Luther Burden dropped 6-76-2 on this defense and Georgia State WR Ted Hurst dropped a 7-128-2 line.
Williams is next up. If you want to play it safe, Williams’ standard projection on PrizePicks is 73.5 yards.
Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith 29.5 Longest Reception — LESS
Should Ohio State win this game? Absolutely. They are a far superior team compared to Iowa. Will they beat them? Very likely.
But you shouldn’t expect an easy runaway in which the Buckeyes gain an early lead and cruise to a victory. Defensively, Iowa will be one of their toughest opponents. They will limit OSU’s possessions, and it’ll be on them to make the most of those opportunities.
The Hawkeyes are seventh in PFF Coverage Grade (91.7), and they will limit the explosive plays. Smith will not be able to make one of these huge chunk plays in this game. Smith also went less on this projection last week against Michigan State.
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Lock In on Week 6 CFB DFS on PrizePicks
We’ve reached the halfway point of the college football season, and it’s difficult to figure out who the favorite is to win it all. We’ve already seen a few different No. 1 teams, and that could continue, with many teams in the mix for the first 12-team College Football Playoff.
What will also continue is that PrizPicks will give an entire board of players to pick from every Saturday.
With new matchups and projections every week, you’ll have some of the best players in the country to build your lineup with. Just pick more or less on at least two player projections (or up to six) to get started and win up to 200x your money.
Keep looking at the Playbook for PrizePicks CFB picks throughout the season, and we’ll deliver the best content until we get a National Champion.
Follow John Supowitz for more CFB Picks: @ImThatSupi
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