MLB DFS Picks for PrizePicks Today: September 17, 2024

September 17, 2024

By: Shayne Trail

Milwaukee Brewers' Jake Bauers (9) bats during a baseball game against the Cincinnati Reds in Cincinnati. Bauers is a top MLB DFS Pick on PrizePicks today, September 17, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Dean)

With every MLB taking the field today, we’ve found today’s top MLB DFS picks and player projections on PrizePicks for September 17, 2024. Below, we’ll help you make your MLB picks on PrizePicks to combine with discounted projections during today’s Taco Tuesday promotion.

Whether you’re backing two pitchers’s no run first inning projections or a hitter to go yard, Tuesday's MLB matchups are stacked with opportunities. Below, we’ve got four selections to help you build your winning lineups, including a demon and goblin pick.

Don’t forget to head to the PrizePicks MLB board, lock in your picks, and build your lineup to get in on the real money sports action.

NRFI: Zack Wheeler + Frankie Montas 0.5 1st Inning Runs Allowed — LESS

Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Zack Wheeler has been impressive this season, boasting a 25-4 NRFI (No Run First Inning) record — or 25-of-29 starts with a scoreless first inning.Wheeler also has one of the best road NRFI splits, with a 10-3 NRFI record this season.

Since last season, Wheeler has gone 25-7 to the NRFI on the road firmly placing him at the top when it comes to obtaining a NRFI on the road.

On the other side of this NRFI matchup is newly acquired Brewers pitcher Frankie Montas. This season, Montas holds a solid 23-6 NRFI record, including a 9-3 home NRFI split.

Despite the Phillies being one of the stronger hitting lineups in baseball, they have a 70% NRFI success rate on the road, standing at 60 scoreless first innings this year.

A simple six outs will be easy for these two pitchers when considering their strong NRFI records.

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Dodgers P Bobby Miller 16.5 Outs — LESS‍

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET‍

Dodgers pitcher Bobby Miller has had an up-and-down season due to injuries and pitch count limitations. He has failed to surpass his projected 16.5 outs in 8 of his 12 starts this year, with his struggles magnified on the road, where he has missed this projection in 7 of his last 10 road starts.

The Dodgers are already monitoring Miller's workload as the MLB Playoffs near. Now, he’s facing a Miami Marlins team that ranks as one of the lowest strikeout teams in baseball (22% K rate) and top 10 in wRC+ against right-handed pitching.

Miller is likely to fall short of the 16.5 outs projection today when considering all factors.

Goblin Pick: Guardians 3B Jose Ramirez 0.5 Total Bases — MORE‍

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET‍

José Ramírez is in quite a favorable matchup against Twins rookie pitcher Zebby Matthews. This season, Matthews has allowed a 20% barrel rate, a 71% hard-hit percentage, and a 31% flyball rate over his last 50 appearances to left handed hitters.

While the sample size is limited due to Matthews’ recent call-up, these metrics are alarming.

Against a right-handed pitchers fastball, Ramírez owns a terrific 56% hard-hit percentage, 9% barrel rate, and a 35% flyball rate over 125 plate appearances. Matthews throws his fastball 50% of the time to hitters, making this a prime opportunity for Ramírez to capitalize against the rookie.

‍Note: Goblin picks reduce your payout on PrizePicks, as they are easier projections to hit.‍

Demon Picks: Brewers 1B Jake Bauers 2.5 Total Bases — MORE

Time: 7:40 p.m. ET‍

Despite being one of the best pitchers in the National League, Philadelphia Phillies ace Zack Wheeler has struggled tremendously against left-handed hitters this season. In his last 55 plate appearances against lefties, Wheeler has allowed a 25% barrel rate, 71% hard-hit percentage, and a 43% flyball rate.

Much of this stems from his frequent use of the fastball (40% of the time) against lefties. Milwaukee Brewers' left-handed hitter Jake Bowers has excelled against the right handed pitcher fastball, posting a 17% barrel rate, a 74% hard-hit percentage, and a 41% flyball rate in 80+ plate appearances this season.

Bowers has also demonstrated success against Wheeler's second go-to pitch to lefties, with a 55% flyball rate and 46% hard-hit percentage in 21 plate appearances.

Note: Demon picks add a payout boost to your lineup on PrizePicks, as they are more difficult projections to hit.

Lock in on PrizePicks MLB Today

You’ve got the MLB picks for today, now it’s time to build your MLB lineup on PrizePicks. All you have to do is pick more or less on player projections to win real money on today’s MLB action.

Whether you’re going with demons or goblins, there’s always real money sports action waiting for you on PrizePicks.

Pick more or less on two or more player projections, set your lineup, and lock in for today’s MLB DFS slate. Keep coming back to the Playbook for more insights on MLB DFS.

Follow Shayne Trail for more MLB Picks: @ShayneTrail